Political analysis on SWAPO’s post-election introspection

While recognising the SWAPO’s post-election introspection as a much-needed move, political analysts worried it might be too late to heal the deep wounds of disunity and to convince the voters on perceived failed service delivery. The ruling party recently conducted an election postmortem to determine the cause of its poor performance in the 2019 presidential and National Assembly Elections. After SWAPO’s post-election navel gazing, political analysts still have mixed feelings as to whether the ruling party may well retain their capacity to hang on to state power. In a WhatsApp interview with the NBC News political analyst Dr Ndumba Kamwanyah says the ruling party’s intention for introspection could be noble, however, the introspection might have missed propelling truth and reconciliation, especially with internal factions. Kamwanyah says it won’t be plain sailing or a guarantee enough that the party is out of danger. He also said he has mixed feelings in regard to the format, which was leadership driven. "The discontent is widely among the members and supporters, so, you could also tell from their speech that they acknowledge that there's a problem in the party when it comes to unity and self-enrichment. They were clear on that but for me the problem is the format I would have loved to see the introspection modelled along with truth and reconciliation lead by the leadership but with all ordinary members participating," said Kamwanyah. Another political analyst, Dr Hoze Riruako established that one of the few inferences so far is that voters worry that the name of the party and some of its leaders remain deeply entangled in allegations of corruption. Riruako warns that when trust is eroded, it is difficult to regain it. Among other issues, Riruako mentioned that as is with other liberation movements in Africa, SWAPO has been increasingly challenged by economic failure, rising popular discontent, the alienation of young people and yawning internal divisions as well as continuing political weight of factionalism that might give way for electoral defeat or other unforeseen events. Riruako said, "SWAPO will have a tough time to convince the masses, especially on corruption and poor governance. The time between now and the election is too little. The party needs to re-engineer its leadership structure. Take the power back to the people instead of having a powerful individual in a form of strong man politics… In my opinion it's a bit too little and too late, yes the party liberated the country but a lot has happened and has created deeper cracks." Apart from trying to forge party unity to prepare for the November regional and local authority elections, the two academics say the party must admit its failure and cultivate members' trust.

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NAMPA
Author
Daniel Nadunya